the mozo blog

The words ‘tax’ and ‘exciting’ make strange bedfellows at the best of times, but it really can be described as a potentially exciting time for Australians on the tax front. Consumers look set for a double boost this Sunday, when the Federal Government finally releases its findings and decisions derived from the ‘Henry review’ of the tax system. Chaired by the head of the Federal Treasury, Ken Henry, the review has been labeled as a “root-and-branch” review of Australia’s tax system, and by all reports consumers could see gains with regards to both their savings and their mortgages as a result of some of the potentially adopted findings. Dr Henry handed over the report to Treasurer Wayne Swan in December 2009 and since then, Treasury officials have been working on the government’s response to the review.

In terms of Australia’s banking climate, the review looks set to cause a possibly portentous shake-up of the savings account market. Australia is one of the few countries in the developed world to currently tax bank savings at the full rate, a tag which by all reports will be shed soon, with the government preparing to offer significant tax breaks on savings. Whilst the extent of these breaks are as yet unknown, they are unlikely to match the UK model of which where individuals can deposit close to $17,000 (£10,200) tax-free. Dr. Henry is a known admirer of the UK system, yet many in the media are purporting rumours that something similar to the concessions currently in place for superannuation accounts will be announced instead. However, considering the range of options available in terms of size, scope and delivery, there’s no way to be sure till we hear what Wayne Swan has to say himself.

The tax break would also be a huge boost for Australia’s banks as it could generate billions in additional deposits, potentially lowering their funding costs through reducing the reliance on overseas finance. As a result of this, consumers could potentially receive a boost with regards to home loans payments. The banks have been very quick to use high funding costs to justify mortgage rate rises above that of the Reserve Bank‘s cash rate increases. With funding cost pressures alleviated to a significant degree, the government may well turn around and use this savings deposit boost as political leverage aimed at forcing banks to keep mortgage rates down and in turn, voters happy.

Either way, as far as the banking industry is concerned, consumers look to finally be on the receiving end of some good news. Mozo’s Rate Chasers will have a full wrap-up of all the implications for both deposit and lending accounts here on Monday, so be sure to check back to see what all the new changes mean for you.

Compare savings accounts at mozo.com.au

RBA Governor Glenn Stevens has released the text of another speech, this time to business leaders in Toowoomba. And so it’s time for analysts, pundits, commentators and generally interested persons to pick over his themes, his words and the general vibe of the thing, to try and second-guess what the Reserve Bank of Australia will do to interest rates next month.

As always, there’s something for everyone. References to good economic news and references to risks and uncertainties. If you want to predict that rates will go up in May, you can quote him on the speed of the rate cuts in 2008/9 and suggest that he’s paving the way for faster rather than slower increases. If you want to predict that the RBA will pause in May and leave rates steady, you can quote him on the need to leave flexibility in how we respond to the way the recovery unfolds. And there’s plenty each way in his analysis of the global economic recovery.

But look closer. We’ve found an ingenious code hidden in the speeches of the RBA Governor. And an astonishing truth… unveiled at last!

He tells us that, when responding to the GFC, the RBA cut rates by 375 basis points over 5 months. And that so far, they’ve responded to the recovery by increasing them by 125 basis points over 7 months, “…which is still only about a third the pace of the earlier declines.” Now 375 over 5 equals 75, but notice that 125 over 7 is well short of a third of this – it is not even a quarter! Rather than a numerical error, this is actually a clue. To get to exactly one-third, you need 200 over 8… and a 75 basis point increase in May would do exactly that! Unbelievable!

A 75 basis point increase next month is a shocking conclusion, well outside what most observers predict, but one clearly supported by the clever trail of clues he has left. But, rest assured that this would be the final increase: his speech contains 3133 words, and 3+1+3+3 = 10, and 1+0=1, ie he’s telling us that there is just one last rate rise.

Silly? Yes, but it is no less scientific than some other predictions people make from picking apart his speeches for clues. The RBA has told us clearly that there is likely to be a little bit more to go, but that the timing is up in the air. That’s all the clues they are going to give us. Maybe May, maybe June, maybe both, maybe neither.

So instead of predicting what the RBA might do, here at Mozo we’ll keep our eyes on what financial providers do in response. Every month, Mozo’s Rate Chasers update Reserve Bank interest rates with information about home loan rate rises as it comes in. And of course, you can find everything you need in our extensive database of rates, fees and features, for home loans, credit cards, savings accounts, term deposits, personal loans and bank accounts.

mozo.com.au. we chase. you save.

As you may remember, a media firestorm erupted last week when Westpac announced it would charge interest on fees and interest on all Westpac Credit Cards. Westpac defended itself by saying this is standard practice among banks — but just how standard is it?

Well, it seems Westpac was right. Across the ‘Big 4′, interest is charged on interest and fees. And they’re not the only ones either, with the likes of American Express, Citibank and St George all guilty of the same tactics.

But this isn’t all — while digging into the fine print about interest and fees, I discovered a myriad of sneaky tricks banks use in charging customers. Forget the trivial feats of magicians and illusionists like Blaine, Copperfield or Criss Angel; for real trickery you need look no further than your monthly credit card statement.

For example, a widespread ace you’ll find up providers’ sleeves involves the specific debts your repayments actually pay off. Most cards’ conditions require your repayments to go towards those purchases that attract the lowest rate. This makes any purchases made at a higher rate more likely to attract interest charges, as they are the last to be paid off.

Another little rabbit in the hat is the date from which interest is charged. Instead of charging interest from the date a transaction is posted to your statement, some providers charge from the date of transaction. While there’s only a few days’ difference, it can add up, especially for larger purchases.

And then there’s the cleverest banking sleight of hand — the ‘prestige’ in magician’s parlance. The typical 44-55 days interest-free period on purchases is often viewed by customers as a breather between spending and interest charges. But quite often this buffer pulls a disappearing act. If your balance is not paid in full by the due date, you’ll lose your interest free days with Commonwealth, ANZ and Westpac. NAB is more lenient, but you still have to maintain your monthly minimum repayment.

So what does this mean for your bottom line? If you lose your interest free days, your bank will levy interest comprising a total of daily interest charges on your purchases going all the way back to the date of purchase. While NAB and ANZ only charge this interest on the overdue amount, Westpac and Commonwealth Bank will charge the 55 days of interest retrospectively on the entire balance, even if minimum repayments are met. What’s more, you won’t get those interest-free days back until those old balances are paid in full. In some cases, such as BankWest, you’re required to pay two consecutive statements in full before they give you this ‘luxury’ back.

In The Prestige, the magician Robert Angier (Hugh Jackman) warns us: “If anybody really believed the things I did on stage, they wouldn’t clap, they’d scream.” I’d be surprised if your next credit card statement was greeted with applause…

Compare credit cards at mozo.com.au