Will the RBA cut interest rates again in November?

The RBA’s next meeting is only a few short weeks away, but recent comments by RBA Governor, Philip Lowe have sharply downgraded the chances of a November cut.
Addressing the International Monetary Fund in Washington earlier this month, the usually measured Lowe seemed more optimistic than ever, telling those in attendance that the year’s three rate cuts were finally producing results.
"The economy has been through a very soft patch over the past year but it is actually gradually improving — the lower interest rates are working," he said.
Related: What is the cash rate and how does it affect you?
"I don't think it's the right assumption to make that we're going to have a lot more work to do to get inflation back to target and growth back to trend.”
When pressed by the audience on the question of negative interest rates, Dr Lowe stated it’s “extraordinarily unlikely” that interest rates in Australia would dip below the zero mark during his tenure.
Are Aussies buying it?
Unemployment rates feature quite prominently in the RBA’s deliberations, and a big reason why Lowe is currently singing a positive tune is those figures dropped from 5.3% to 5.2% in September.
It’s a positive development, sure. But it is just a single data point, and the overall picture isn’t so rosy.
Wage growth remains sluggish, inflation consistently falls below target, and despite Lowe’s chipper remarks, there’s a growing belief that rate cuts have had an unnerving effect on consumers, leading to a collective tightening of belts.
Taken together with the IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook report - which downgraded an initial forecast of 2% growth in Australia this year to 1.7% - it’s possible we haven’t yet weathered the worst of the current slump.
When will the RBA next cut rates?
So if the RBA won’t be reducing interest rates next month, when can we expect it to make a move? While Lowe seems content to admire his handiwork at the moment, he has alluded to at least one more cut down the track. Right now, many are predicting February will be the month.
“A February cut gives time for things to settle down, for people to relax and spend a bit of money at Christmas,” said Mozo’s banking expert, Peter Marshall.
“When the RBA cut rates twice back in June and July, it really had a big impact on consumer confidence. I don’t think they want to repeat that experiment.”
But how much do mortgage holders stand to benefit come February? After three rate cuts this year, banks and lenders are starting to look pretty fatigued. When the RBA does make a move, it’s unlikely we’ll see many pass on more than a portion of the cut to their variable home loan customers.
“They may cut 0.15% again but my money would be on 0.10% or 0.12%. We’re getting to the bottom, and the next cut is where we’ll see the banks reasserting their need to maintain margins,” said Marshall.
The good news is that depositors probably won’t feel the full force of the next cut. Savings accounts haven’t fared too well in the past few months, and banks will have to start holding firm with their rates if they want to continue to attract customers.
So if you’re wondering how your current savings rate stacks up compared to what else is on the market right now, check out some of the options below, or visit our savings account comparison page for a more in-depth look.
Savings account comparisons on Mozo - rates updated daily
Future Saver Account - 14 to 35 years
Maximum rate
standard interest rate
Govt Deposit Guarantee
3.00% p.a. (for $0 to $50,001)0.05% p.a.(for $0 and over)Yes up to $250,000Transfer a minimum of $1,000 into your linked Everyday Account and make 5 eligible transactions. Bonus interest criteria waived for account holders 14-17 years of age.
Enjoy bonus interest each month when you meet the criteria. No monthly fees. Open an account in minutes. Open up to 9 accounts. Transaction round-up for faster saving. Personalised insights and goal tracking. For customers aged 14-35 years.
Future Saver Account - 14 to 35 years
Enjoy bonus interest each month when you meet the criteria. No monthly fees. Open an account in minutes. Open up to 9 accounts. Transaction round-up for faster saving. Personalised insights and goal tracking. For customers aged 14-35 years.
- account fee per month
- $0.00
- Maximum rate conditions
- Ongoing bonus rate applied if in the previous month $1,000 or more is credited to the linked Everyday Account and 5 eligible transactions are made by the linked account. Bonus interest criteria waived for account holders 14-17 years of age.
- Access
- BPay, Branch access, Internet banking
- Minimum balance
- $1.00
- Other restrictions
- -
Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the Future Saver Account - 14 to 35 years
AMP Saver Account
Maximum rate
standard interest rate
Govt Deposit Guarantee
1.35% p.a. (for $0 to $250,000)0.10% p.a.(for $0 to $5,000,000)Yes up to $250,000Minimum deposit of at least $250 in the previous month.
An ongoing total variable bonus rate of up to 1.35% per annum will apply each month if you deposit $250 in the previous month. Available only on balances up to $250,000. AMP Bank, winner of the Mozo Experts Choice Awards 2022 in the Savings category.^
AMP Saver Account
An ongoing total variable bonus rate of up to 1.35% per annum will apply each month if you deposit $250 in the previous month. Available only on balances up to $250,000. AMP Bank, winner of the Mozo Experts Choice Awards 2022 in the Savings category.^
- account fee per month
- $0.00
- Maximum rate conditions
- Ongoing total variable bonus rate of up to 1.35% per annum applies if customers deposit $250 in the previous month. Available only on balances up to $250,000.
- Access
- Phone banking, Internet banking
- Minimum balance
- $0.00
- Other restrictions
- Ongoing total variable bonus rate of 1.35% p.a. is earned on your account balance the month after you deposit $250 and is paid the following month. Available on balances up to $250,000. Maximum balance per customer name is $5,000,000.
Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the AMP Saver Account
High Interest Savings Account
Maximum rate
standard interest rate
Govt Deposit Guarantee
2.10% p.a. (for $0 to $250,001)1.00% p.a.(for $0 to $250,001)Yes up to $250,000Bonus rate for the first 4 months from account opening
Kick start your savings with the 4 month introductory variable rate. No fees, no minimum balance, no minimum monthly deposit and no minimum term.
High Interest Savings Account
Kick start your savings with the 4 month introductory variable rate. No fees, no minimum balance, no minimum monthly deposit and no minimum term.
- account fee per month
- $0.00
- Maximum rate conditions
- Bonus rate for the first 4 months from account opening, reverting to standard variable rate. Rate shown is for Personal customers and is subject to change. Different rates apply to Business/SMSF customers.
- Access
- Internet banking
- Minimum balance
- $0.00
- Other restrictions
- Must link to a transaction account
Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the High Interest Savings Account
- Featured Product
Bonus Saver Account
Maximum rate
standard interest rate
Govt Deposit Guarantee
1.60% p.a. (for $0 to $250,000)0.05% p.a.(for $0 and over)Yes up to $250,000Bonus rate when at least $20 is deposited each month and five Visa Debit transactions are made each month using linked Glide transaction account.
Winner of a Mozo Experts Choice Award 2022 in the Regular Saver category. No monthly account fees. Available only on balances up to $250,000.
Bonus Saver Account
Winner of a Mozo Experts Choice Award 2022 in the Regular Saver category. No monthly account fees. Available only on balances up to $250,000.
- account fee per month
- $0.00
- Maximum rate conditions
- Bonus rate when at least $20 is deposited each month and five Visa Debit transactions are made each month using linked Glide transaction account.
- Access
- Phone banking, Internet banking
- Minimum balance
- $0.00
- Other restrictions
- Must link to a transaction account
Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the Bonus Saver Account
Smart Saver Account
Maximum rate
standard interest rate
Govt Deposit Guarantee
2.00% p.a. (for $0 to $250,001)0.05% p.a.(for $0 and over)Yes up to $250,000Transfer a minimum of $1,000 into your linked Everyday Account and make 5 eligible transactions.
BOQ’s high interest savings account lets you enjoy bonus interest each month when you meet the criteria. No monthly fees. Link up to 9 eligible transaction accounts. Round up your transactions. For customers aged 36 years and over. Apply in minutes.
Smart Saver Account
BOQ’s high interest savings account lets you enjoy bonus interest each month when you meet the criteria. No monthly fees. Link up to 9 eligible transaction accounts. Round up your transactions. For customers aged 36 years and over. Apply in minutes.
- account fee per month
- $0.00
- Maximum rate conditions
- Ongoing bonus rate applied if in the previous month $1,000 or more is credited to the linked Everyday Account and 5 eligible transactions are made by the linked account.
- Access
- BPay, Branch access
- Minimum balance
- $1.00
- Other restrictions
- -
Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the Smart Saver Account
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