Will the RBA cut interest rates again in November?

The RBA’s next meeting is only a few short weeks away, but recent comments by RBA Governor, Philip Lowe have sharply downgraded the chances of a November cut.

Addressing the International Monetary Fund in Washington earlier this month, the usually measured Lowe seemed more optimistic than ever, telling those in attendance that the year’s three rate cuts were finally producing results.

"The economy has been through a very soft patch over the past year but it is actually gradually improving — the lower interest rates are working," he said.

Related: What is the cash rate and how does it affect you?

"I don't think it's the right assumption to make that we're going to have a lot more work to do to get inflation back to target and growth back to trend.”

When pressed by the audience on the question of negative interest rates, Dr Lowe stated it’s “extraordinarily unlikely” that interest rates in Australia would dip below the zero mark during his tenure.

Are Aussies buying it?

Unemployment rates feature quite prominently in the RBA’s deliberations, and a big reason why Lowe is currently singing a positive tune is those figures dropped from 5.3% to 5.2% in September.

It’s a positive development, sure. But it is just a single data point, and the overall picture isn’t so rosy. 

Wage growth remains sluggish, inflation consistently falls below target, and despite Lowe’s chipper remarks, there’s a growing belief that rate cuts have had an unnerving effect on consumers, leading to a collective tightening of belts.

Taken together with the IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook report - which downgraded an initial forecast of 2% growth in Australia this year to 1.7% - it’s possible we haven’t yet weathered the worst of the current slump.

When will the RBA next cut rates?

So if the RBA won’t be reducing interest rates next month, when can we expect it to make a move? While Lowe seems content to admire his handiwork at the moment, he has alluded to at least one more cut down the track. Right now, many are predicting February will be the month.

“A February cut gives time for things to settle down, for people to relax and spend a bit of money at Christmas,” said Mozo’s banking expert, Peter Marshall.

“When the RBA cut rates twice back in June and July, it really had a big impact on consumer confidence. I don’t think they want to repeat that experiment.”

But how much do mortgage holders stand to benefit come February? After three rate cuts this year, banks and lenders are starting to look pretty fatigued. When the RBA does make a move, it’s unlikely we’ll see many pass on more than a portion of the cut to their variable home loan customers.

“They may cut 0.15% again but my money would be on 0.10% or 0.12%. We’re getting to the bottom, and the next cut is where we’ll see the banks reasserting their need to maintain margins,” said Marshall.

The good news is that depositors probably won’t feel the full force of the next cut. Savings accounts haven’t fared too well in the past few months, and banks will have to start holding firm with their rates if they want to continue to attract customers.

So if you’re wondering how your current savings rate stacks up compared to what else is on the market right now, check out some of the options below, or visit our savings account comparison page for a more in-depth look.

Savings account comparisons on Mozo

Mozo may receive payment if you click the products below. We don’t compare the entire market, but you can search our database of 274 savings accounts.
Last updated 25 July 2024 Important disclosures
  • Savings Account

    5.35% p.a. (for $0 to $250,000)

    4.75% p.a.(for $0 to $1,000,000)

    Yes up to $250,000

    Bonus variable rate is available for the first 4 months.

    Competitive introductory variable rate for first 4 months (on deposits up to $250,000). No account keeping fees to pay. Multiple 2024 Mozo Experts Choice Award winner.

  • Mozo Expert Choice Badge
    Savings Maximiser

    5.50% p.a. (for $0 to $100,000)

    0.55% p.a.(for $0 and over)

    Yes up to $250,000

    For customers who have an Orange Everyday account, deposit $1000 into a personal ING account, make 5 eligible transactions and grow their nominated Savings Maximiser account each month.

    Great variable rate every month when you grow your balance each month in addition to other eligibility criteria. No ING fees to pay. Save even more with ING Everyday Round Up. Mozo Experts Choice Awards Everyday & Savings Bank of the Year winner for 2024.^

  • Reward Saver Account

    5.25% p.a. (for $0 to $1,000,000)

    0% p.a.(for $0 and over)

    Yes up to $250,000

    Intro bonus rate of 5.25% for balances up to $1,000,000 for the first 4 months, reverting to 3.25%. Minimum deposit of $50 and no withdrawals.

    Introductory bonus rate for balances up to $1,000,000 for the first 4 months. Minimum deposit of $50 and no withdrawals. Start your account online in under 10 minutes and earn interest on balances up to $1,000,000 (T&Cs apply). No monthly account fees, helping you save smarter and faster.

  • Savings+Bonus

    5.00% p.a. (for $0 to $250,000)

    2.00% p.a.(for $0 to $250,000)

    Yes up to $250,000

    Minimum $100 monthly deposit and no withdrawals to earn bonus interest each month.

    Earn a generous interest rate on your at-call savings (T&Cs apply). Interest is calculated daily and paid to you monthly. A $5 monthly membership fee will not apply if your total account balances with First Option Bank exceed $1,000 or you have a credit card or loan with the bank.

  • Bonus Saver Account

    5.00% p.a. (for $0 to $250,000)

    0.05% p.a.(for $0 and over)

    Yes up to $250,000

    Bonus rate when at least $20 is deposited each month and five Visa Debit transactions are made each month using linked Glide transaction account.

    Start saving and earn interest with just a $20 deposit and make 5 eligible transactions each month. No fees or penalties for withdrawing money.


^See information about the Mozo Experts Choice Savings Account Awards

Mozo provides general product information. We don't consider your personal objectives, financial situation or needs and we aren't recommending any specific product to you. You should make your own decision after reading the PDS or offer documentation, or seeking independent advice.

While we pride ourselves on covering a wide range of products, we don't cover every product in the market. If you decide to apply for a product through our website, you will be dealing directly with the provider of that product and not with Mozo.