Will banks be forced to slash home loan rates as buyer intention drops?

Monika Gudova

23 Nov 2018

House first home buyers inspection content

With shiny new homes boasting rustic charm showing up on the radar every day, and property prices falling lower than they’ve been in years, it may come as a shock that Aussies aren’t as keen to get a home loan as they were last year.

Research from Roy Morgan has shown that in the three months to October, 1.21 million Australians had the intention of taking out a home loan in the next twelve months, down 17.7% from the year before.

To put this in perspective, in October 2017, 7.3% of the population said they had the intention of taking out a home loan, which dropped to 5.9% in October 2018.

RELATED: Fed up Aussie borrowers dump banks in droves

The data revealed the main group driving these changes to be first home borrowers. In October 2018, 411,000 first home borrowers intended to take out a loan in the next 12 months, down 44.5% from the year before.

Roy Morgan Industry Communications Director, Norman Morris, suggested that without these prospective borrowers, banks could face difficulties in the coming year.

“The decline in home loan intenders over the last year is likely to have a major impact on banks in the coming year, particularly as the drop has come from first home buyers who are major generators of increasing volumes,” he said.

He suggested that the reduction in first home buyers likely had to do with uncertainty in the face of falling house prices, interest rate movements, mortgage stress and job risks.

Mozo Property Expert, Steve Jovcevski, agreed and suggested that rate cuts could be on the horizon as a result.

“It’s hard to shift the blame on any one thing, but it’s likely that a drop in those intending to borrow is a result of big and small banks alike hiking up their home loan rates in recent months, as well as announcements of tighter lending criteria,” he said.

“But what this means now is banks could possibly start looking at cutting rates as a way to attract borrowers in certain segments of the market.”

RELATED: All big 4 banks hike home loan rates - is now a good time to refinance?

In contrast, the largest group of Australians intending to take out a home loan in the next 12 months were was found to be refinancers, which accounted for almost half (45.4%) of the total group.

“For the same reason first home buyers are avoiding the property market, homeowners who have just had their rate hiked up are looking for a better deal on their mortgage,” Jovcevski said.

It’s never too early to start looking for a home loan, and if you’re one of the 1.21 million Australians on the hunt for a better mortgage rate, we’ve got some great offers lined up below to kick you off.

Nothing tickle your fancy? We’ve got over 500 home loans in our comparison tables, so you’re sure to find one that not only carries a great rate, but great features too.

First home loans

Rates updated daily. Advertiser disclosure.

  • Well Home Loans
    Mozo Expert Choice Badge" style="width:60px;">

    2.52% p.a. variable

    2.55% p.a.

    $1234

    Product details Close details
    Well Balanced

    Owner Occupier, Principal & Interest, LVR <90%

    2.52% p.a. variable

    2.55% p.a.

    A great value low rate home loan for variable owner occupiers. Free extra repayments and free redraw facility. No ongoing fees. Option for a split account available. Up to 90% LVR. Winner of the Offset Home Loan Expert's Choice Award for 2021.

    Well Balanced

    A great value low rate home loan for variable owner occupiers. Free extra repayments and free redraw facility. No ongoing fees. Option for a split account available. Up to 90% LVR. Winner of the Offset Home Loan Expert's Choice Award for 2021.

    • 2.52% p.a. variable

    • 2.55% p.a.

    • $785

    • $0.00

    • $300.00

    • yes - free

    • yes - free

    • Optional - $10 per month

    • $785

    • 90.00%

    • $200,000

    • $2,000,000

    • Variable

    • Principal & Interest

    • Owner Occupier

    • Weekly, Fortnightly, Monthly

    Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the Well Balanced

    Details Close

  • Well Home Loans
    Mozo Expert Choice Badge" style="width:60px;">

    2.87% p.a. variable

    2.90% p.a.

    $1234

    Product details Close details
    Well Balanced

    Investor, Principal & Interest, LVR <90%

    2.87% p.a. variable

    2.90% p.a.

    Low variable rate home loan for Investors up to 90% LVR with no ongoing fees, free extra repayments and redraw facilities. Winner of the Offset Home Loan Expert's Choice Award for 2021.

    Well Balanced

    Low variable rate home loan for Investors up to 90% LVR with no ongoing fees, free extra repayments and redraw facilities. Winner of the Offset Home Loan Expert's Choice Award for 2021.

    • 2.87% p.a. variable

    • 2.90% p.a.

    • $785

    • $0.00

    • $300.00

    • yes - free

    • yes - free

    • Optional - $10 per month

    • $785

    • 90.00%

    • $200,000

    • $2,000,000

    • Variable

    • Principal & Interest

    • Investor

    • Weekly, Fortnightly, Monthly

    Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the Well Balanced

    Details Close

  • Bank of Queensland

    1.98% p.a. variable

    2.15% p.a.

    $1234

    Product details Close details
    Economy Variable Home Loan

    Owner Occupier, Principal & Interest, <70% LVR, Debt to Income ratio <6

    1.98% p.a. variable

    2.15% p.a.

    An ongoing low variable interest rate with free redraw, flexible repayment options and one free valuation. Discounted Economy variable rate available for owner occupier lending with max LVR of 70%. Refinance to BOQ by 31 January 2022 and get $3,000 cashback (T&Cs apply).

    Economy Variable Home Loan

    An ongoing low variable interest rate with free redraw, flexible repayment options and one free valuation. Discounted Economy variable rate available for owner occupier lending with max LVR of 70%. Refinance to BOQ by 31 January 2022 and get $3,000 cashback (T&Cs apply).

    • 1.98% p.a. variable

    • 2.15% p.a.

    • $450

    • $10.00 monthly

    • $350.00

    • yes - free

    • yes - free

    • no

    • $450

    • 70.00%

    • -

    • -

    • Variable

    • Principal & Interest

    • Owner Occupier

    • Weekly, Fortnightly, Monthly

    • $3,000 refinance cashback, min $250,000, 80% LVR or less. Apply before 31 January 2022, settle by 29 April 2022.

    Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the Economy Variable Home Loan

    Details Close

  • Bank of Queensland
    Mozo Expert Choice Badge" style="width:60px;">

    2.34% p.a.
    fixed 2 years

    3.13% p.a.

    $1234

    Product details Close details
    Discount Fixed Rate

    Owner Occupier, Principal & Interest, <80% LVR

    2.34% p.a.
    fixed 2 years

    3.13% p.a.

    Lock in a competitive rate for 2 years. Only 20% deposit required. Flexible repayment options and make up to $5,000 in additional repayments annually. Refinance to BOQ by 31 January 2022 and get $3,000 cashback (T&Cs apply).

    Discount Fixed Rate

    Lock in a competitive rate for 2 years. Only 20% deposit required. Flexible repayment options and make up to $5,000 in additional repayments annually. Refinance to BOQ by 31 January 2022 and get $3,000 cashback (T&Cs apply).

    • 2.34% p.a.
      fixed 2 years

    • 3.13% p.a.

    • $450

    • $10.00 monthly

    • $350.00

    • yes - free up to $5,000 p.a

    • no

    • no

    • $450

    • 80.00%

    • $150,000

    • -

    • Fixed

    • Principal & Interest

    • Owner Occupier

    • Weekly, Fortnightly, Monthly

    • $3,000 refinance cashback, min $250,000, 80% LVR or less. Apply before 31 January 2022, settle by 29 April 2022.

    Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the Discount Fixed Rate

    Details Close

  • Yard
    Mozo Expert Choice Badge" style="width:60px;">

    1.99% p.a. variable

    2.02% p.a.

    $1234

    Product details Close details
    Variable Home Loan Special

    Owner Occupier, Principal & Interest, LVR <80%

    1.99% p.a. variable

    2.02% p.a.

    Yard’s low-rate variable special home loan is packed with all features – unlimited additional repayments, free redraw, 100% offset account. Enjoy a simple online application. Special rate applies to home loan applications submitted by 31st January 2022. Low Cost Home Loan winner in the Mozo's Experts Choice award 2021.

    Variable Home Loan Special

    Yard’s low-rate variable special home loan is packed with all features – unlimited additional repayments, free redraw, 100% offset account. Enjoy a simple online application. Special rate applies to home loan applications submitted by 31st January 2022. Low Cost Home Loan winner in the Mozo's Experts Choice award 2021.

    • 1.99% p.a. variable

    • 2.02% p.a.

    • $530

    • $0.00

    • $500.00

    • yes - free

    • yes - free

    • Optional - $10 per month

    • $530

    • 80.00%

    • $150,000

    • $5,000,000

    • Variable

    • Principal & Interest

    • Owner Occupier

    • Weekly, Fortnightly, Monthly

    • Special rate applies to home loan applications submitted by 31 January 2022.

    Read our Mozo Review to learn more about the Variable Home Loan Special

    Details Close

^See information about the Mozo Experts Choice Home loans Awards