Aussie property markets in autumn: expert predictions

The 1st of March is also the first day of autumn, which brings with it dropping leaves, chilier weather, and the autumn property season.

If you’re looking at stepping into the property market over the next few months, being prepared is key. That means being auction ready, knowing the market and crunching the numbers on your potential home loan so you can find the best deal and plan a budget. 

To help you in your home buying preparations, check out some killer home loan options in the table below, then read on for Mozo property expert Steve Jovcevski’s predictions for property markets in Australia’s capital cities this autumn.

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Last updated 24 November 2024 Important disclosures and comparison rate warning*

Home loan comparisons on Mozo

  • Unloan Variable

    • Owner Occupier
    • LVR <80%
    Interest rate
    5.99 % p.a.
    Variable
    Comparison rate
    5.90 % p.a.
    Initial monthly repayment
    $2,995
    Go to site

    Built by CommBank, the Unloan is the first home loan with an increasing discount (conditions apply) for borrowers. No application or banking fees. No monthly account keeping or early exit fees. Apply online in minutes.

  • Fixed Home Loan

    • Owner Occupier
    • Principal & Interest
    • LVR <95%
    Interest rate
    5.69 % p.a.
    Fixed 3 years
    Comparison rate
    6.28 % p.a.
    Initial monthly repayment
    $2,899
    Go to site

    Get the security of a competitive fixed rate home loan for 2 years with IMB. Get up to $4,000 cashback (T&Cs apply). Up to 12 months repayments in advance without penalties. Free Internet and Mobile Banking redraws (T&Cs apply). Up to a 30 year loan term. Split loan available. No offset account.

  • Fixed Rate

    • Owner Occupier
    • Principal & Interest
    • <80% LVR
    Interest rate
    5.74 % p.a.
    Fixed 3 years
    Comparison rate
    6.81 % p.a.
    Initial monthly repayment
    $2,915

    Enjoy up to $3000 cashback for eligible first home buyers and $2000 cashback for refinancers on eligible home loans with the ANZ Fixed Rate Home Loan. Get the security of repayment certainty with a competitive locked in rate. No ongoing fees to pay. Offset account on 1-year fixed loans ($10/month fee applies). Interest-only payments allowed.

  • Unloan Variable

    • Owner Occupier
    • LVR <80%
    Interest rate
    5.99 % p.a.
    Variable
    Comparison rate
    5.90 % p.a.
    Initial monthly repayment
    $2,995
    Go to site

    Built by CommBank, the Unloan is the first home loan with an increasing discount (conditions apply) for borrowers. No application or banking fees. No monthly account keeping or early exit fees. Apply online in minutes.

  • Budget Home Loan

    • LVR <80%
    • Owner Occupier
    • Principal & Interest
    Interest rate
    6.04 % p.a.
    Variable
    Comparison rate
    6.07 % p.a.
    Initial monthly repayment
    $3,011
    Go to site

    Enjoy a discounted variable home loan from IMB. Get up to $4,000 cashback (T&Cs apply). Life-of-loan discount off IMB’s standard variable interest rate. Unrestricted additional repayments. Free Internet and Mobile Banking redraws (T&Cs apply). No monthly fees to pay. Up to a 30 year loan term. Split loan available. No offset account.

  • Mortgage Simplifier

    • LVR<80%
    • Owner Occupier
    • Principal & Interest
    Interest rate
    6.14 % p.a.
    Variable
    Comparison rate
    6.17 % p.a.
    Initial monthly repayment
    $3,043

    Get a competitive variable rate with ING’s Mortgage Simplifier. Free extra repayments, no monthly or annual fees. Freedom to make free extra repayments or redraws.

  • Elevate

    • Owner Occupier
    • Principal & Interest
    • <80% LVR
    Interest rate
    6.18 % p.a.
    Variable
    Comparison rate
    6.18 % p.a.
    Initial monthly repayment
    $3,056

    Get competitive rates on loan terms of 5 to 30 years with the Aussie Elevate Home Loan. Structure your loan with up to five splits. Make additional repayments (T&Cs apply). Offset accounts available. Unlimited redraw using your online banking account. Choose from weekly, fortnightly or monthly payments For loan amounts from $10,000 to $5 million.

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Expert property predictions

Sydney

The Sydney market has begun to slow recently, but Jovcevski says it remains relatively strong.

“I’d expect clearance rates to stay pretty steady around the 65%-70% mark this autumn. The market has slowed down, and now that sellers are beginning to adjust their expectations and auction reserves, we’ll likely see more sales go through,” he said.

Melbourne

The Melbourne market, which is still driven mainly by first home buyers, is still growing, especially when viewed in comparison with Sydney. Jovcevski is counting on the market in Melbourne to remain stable.

“Clearance rates will probably stick around 70% - I’m not expecting a drop in Melbourne the way there might be in other markets,” he said.

Canberra

Jovcevski has Canberra pinned as a top performer this autumn, with clearance rates going as high as 65%-70%.

“The market is a bit quiet at the moment, but Canberra is a great spot for investors because it has low vacancy rates and high rental yields, so there’s always going to be demand there,” he said.

Hobart

You can’t judge Hobart by its low clearance rates, because according to Jovcevski, it isn’t an auction dependant market. Instead, a better marker might be the super low vacancy rates in the city at the moment.

“Low vacancy rates and interest from interstate investors means the Hobart market could even grow another 10% this year,” Jovcevski predicted.

Brisbane

Like Hobart, Brisbane isn’t an auction focused market, so the low clearance rates aren’t cause for concern. Jovcevski said an improving jobs market after the end of the mining boom and the relatively low prices available in the city might tempt first home buyers to the market.

“Brisbane houses in particular I’d expect to rebound and improve. Units in Brisbane never seem to do as well comparatively,” he said.

Adelaide

“Consistency is the name of the game in Adelaide. The market generally see 3-4% yearly growth and that trend is likely to continue,” said Jovcevski.

This slow and steady growth makes Adelaide a reliable pick for investors, but it may also be another area of interest for first home buyers this autumn, thanks to still affordable prices.

Perth

The Perth market has been in freefall for a while now, but according to Jovcevski, what goes down in the property market must come back up, and the city is in for an upward swing - just not quite yet.

“Perth is getting close to the bottom of the market now, but until it hits that point, there’s going to be a lot of ups and downs. This autumn might be too soon to buy in Perth. It’s not a market for the faint of heart at the moment,” Jovcevski said.

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* WARNING: This comparison rate applies only to the example or examples given. Different amounts and terms will result in different comparison rates. Costs such as redraw fees or early repayment fees, and cost savings such as fee waivers, are not included in the comparison rate but may influence the cost of the loan. The comparison rate displayed is for a secured loan with monthly principal and interest repayments for $150,000 over 25 years.

** Initial monthly repayment figures are estimates only, based on the advertised rate. You can change the loan amount and term in the input boxes at the top of this table. Rates, fees and charges and therefore the total cost of the loan may vary depending on your loan amount, loan term, and credit history. Actual repayments will depend on your individual circumstances and interest rate changes.

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